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panicked the general public, not least the governments of Sweden and San Francisco. Why the Chicken Little reaction? |
Brodeur called it , and anything with the word is
The electrocution hazard goes up with the voltage, so long-distance transmission lines (power lines) are especially dangerous.
We put up with these well- understood risks because of the obvious benefits and convenience of electric power. We also put up with them because we know how to protect ourselves: Don't touch high voltage power lines!
and direct electrocution.
Some people have claimed that these magnetic fields are a form of ELF (Extremely Low Frequency) electromagnetic that is dangerous to health.
What the follow-up studies found was nothing, as the data below show clearly.
In other words, we have all been guinea pigs in an experiment during the last 90 years. It would be reasonable to expect, if power lines cause diseasecancer in particularthat the incidence of the disease would increase with the exposure. That is, if power lines are unhealthy, why aren't we getting sick?
(Well, almost nobodyin 1992 Richard P. Liburdy, a scientist at U of CA, Berkeley, announced he had linked electromagnetic fields from power lines with observable changes in the cells of living tissues.)
But according to the Associated Press (July 24, 1999) the Federal Office of Research Integrity found that Liburdy had committed scientific misconducti.e. fraudby tossing out data that did not support his conclusions; and that he knew his data manipulations were significant to the claims of his paper.
Perhaps I should finish by remarking that scientists dealing with unsub- stantiated claims and anecdotal evidence labor under a major difficulty. We can't prove a negative propositionpower lines don't cause hivesany more than you can prove you didn't commit last week's murder.
That is why the police have to try to prove the definite proposition that you committed the murder. And it is why scientists have to start with a definite ideapower lines do cause hivesuse it to make a definite prediction, and see whether that prediction is verified.
But if the prediction disagrees with our experience, that does not mean we have proved the proposition was false. It just means that the proposition is less likely to be true than it was before we ran the experiment.
Scientists' inability to prove the negative drives laymen and politicians crazy. But it is also what makes a (good) scientist worth listening to.